This table attempts to estimate your probability of going into labor on different individual days based on your estimated due date. If you don't know your due date, or just want a handy daily page to tell you where you're at, use the pregnancy calendar.
It's based on the idea that the average pregnancy lasts 40 weeks with a standard deviation of about 10 days. This means you're more likely to go into labor on one of the days close to your due date. For instance, about half of all babies are born within a week of their date. Scroll to the bottom of this page if you want to know more about where I got these numbers.
The following dates are based on an estimated due date of September 25th, 2017.
|Date||Progress||Overall probability of
|Current probability of
|probability of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor|
|On this date||By this date||On this date||By this date||On this date||Within 3 days||Within 5 days||Within 7 days|
|Monday August 21st, 2017||35W, 0D||0.01%||0.02%||0.01%||0.02%||-%||0.1%||0.1%||0.2%|
|Tuesday August 22nd, 2017||35W, 1D||0.01%||0.03%||0.01%||0.03%||-%||0.1%||0.2%||0.3%|
|Wednesday August 23rd, 2017||35W, 2D||0.02%||0.05%||0.02%||0.05%||-%||0.1%||0.2%||0.4%|
|Thursday August 24th, 2017||35W, 3D||0.02%||0.07%||0.02%||0.07%||-%||0.1%||0.3%||0.6%|
|Friday August 25th, 2017||35W, 4D||0.03%||0.1%||0.03%||0.1%||-%||0.2%||0.4%||0.7%|
|Saturday August 26th, 2017||35W, 5D||0.04%||0.13%||0.04%||0.13%||-%||0.2%||0.5%||0.9%|
|Sunday August 27th, 2017||35W, 6D||0.06%||0.19%||0.06%||0.19%||0.1%||0.3%||0.6%||1.2%|
|Monday August 28th, 2017||36W, 0D||0.08%||0.26%||0.08%||0.26%||0.1%||0.4%||0.8%||1.5%|
|Tuesday August 29th, 2017||36W, 1D||0.1%||0.35%||0.1%||0.35%||0.1%||0.5%||1%||1.9%|
|Wednesday August 30th, 2017||36W, 2D||0.14%||0.47%||0.14%||0.47%||0.1%||0.6%||1.3%||2.4%|
|Thursday August 31st, 2017||36W, 3D||0.18%||0.62%||0.18%||0.62%||0.2%||0.8%||1.7%||3%|
|Friday September 1st, 2017||36W, 4D||0.22%||0.82%||0.22%||0.82%||0.2%||1%||2.1%||3.7%|
|Saturday September 2nd, 2017||36W, 5D||0.28%||1.07%||0.28%||1.07%||0.3%||1.2%||2.5%||4.5%|
|Sunday September 3rd, 2017||36W, 6D||0.35%||1.39%||0.35%||1.39%||0.4%||1.5%||3.1%||5.4%|
|Monday September 4th, 2017||37W, 0D||0.44%||1.79%||0.44%||1.79%||0.4%||1.8%||3.8%||6.4%|
|Tuesday September 5th, 2017||37W, 1D||0.54%||2.28%||0.54%||2.28%||0.6%||2.2%||4.5%||7.6%|
|Wednesday September 6th, 2017||37W, 2D||0.66%||2.87%||0.66%||2.87%||0.7%||2.7%||5.4%||8.9%|
|Thursday September 7th, 2017||37W, 3D||0.79%||3.59%||0.79%||3.59%||0.8%||3.2%||6.3%||10.4%|
|Friday September 8th, 2017||37W, 4D||0.94%||4.46%||0.94%||4.46%||1%||3.8%||7.4%||11.9%|
|Saturday September 9th, 2017||37W, 5D||1.11%||5.48%||1.11%||5.48%||1.2%||4.4%||8.6%||13.7%|
|Sunday September 10th, 2017||37W, 6D||1.3%||6.68%||1.3%||6.68%||1.4%||5.2%||9.8%||15.5%|
|Monday September 11th, 2017||38W, 0D||1.5%||8.08%||1.5%||8.08%||1.6%||6%||11.2%||17.5%|
|Tuesday September 12th, 2017||38W, 1D||1.71%||9.68%||1.71%||9.68%||1.9%||6.9%||12.7%||19.7%|
|Wednesday September 13th, 2017||38W, 2D||1.94%||11.51%||1.94%||11.51%||2.2%||7.8%||14.3%||21.9%|
|Thursday September 14th, 2017||38W, 3D||2.18%||13.57%||2.18%||13.57%||2.5%||8.8%||16%||24.2%|
|Friday September 15th, 2017||38W, 4D||2.42%||15.87%||2.42%||15.87%||2.9%||9.9%||17.8%||26.6%|
|Saturday September 16th, 2017||38W, 5D||2.66%||18.41%||2.66%||18.41%||3.3%||11.1%||19.7%||29%|
|Sunday September 17th, 2017||38W, 6D||2.9%||21.19%||2.9%||21.19%||3.7%||12.3%||21.6%||31.5%|
|Monday September 18th, 2017||39W, 0D||3.12%||24.2%||3.12%||24.2%||4.1%||13.5%||23.6%||34%|
|Tuesday September 19th, 2017||39W, 1D||3.33%||27.43%||3.33%||27.43%||4.6%||14.9%||25.6%||36.6%|
|Wednesday September 20th, 2017||39W, 2D||3.52%||30.85%||3.52%||30.85%||5.1%||16.2%||27.7%||39.2%|
|Thursday September 21st, 2017||39W, 3D||3.68%||34.46%||3.68%||34.46%||5.6%||17.6%||29.8%||41.7%|
|Friday September 22nd, 2017||39W, 4D||3.81%||38.21%||3.81%||38.21%||6.2%||19.1%||31.9%||44.2%|
|Saturday September 23rd, 2017||39W, 5D||3.91%||42.07%||3.91%||42.07%||6.7%||20.6%||34%||46.7%|
|Sunday September 24th, 2017||39W, 6D||3.97%||46.02%||3.97%||46.02%||7.4%||22.1%||36.2%||49.2%|
|Monday September 25th, 2017||40W, 0D||3.99%||50%||3.99%||50%||8%||23.6%||38.3%||51.6%|
|Tuesday September 26th, 2017||40W, 1D||3.97%||53.98%||3.97%||53.98%||8.6%||25.1%||40.4%||54%|
|Wednesday September 27th, 2017||40W, 2D||3.91%||57.93%||3.91%||57.93%||9.3%||26.7%||42.5%||56.2%|
|Thursday September 28th, 2017||40W, 3D||3.81%||61.79%||3.81%||61.79%||10%||28.2%||44.5%||58.5%|
|Friday September 29th, 2017||40W, 4D||3.68%||65.54%||3.68%||65.54%||10.7%||29.8%||46.6%||60.6%|
|Saturday September 30th, 2017||40W, 5D||3.52%||69.15%||3.52%||69.15%||11.4%||31.3%||48.6%||62.7%|
|Sunday October 1st, 2017||40W, 6D||3.33%||72.57%||3.33%||72.57%||12.1%||32.9%||50.5%||64.7%|
|Monday October 2nd, 2017||41W, 0D||3.12%||75.8%||3.12%||75.8%||12.9%||34.4%||52.4%||66.6%|
|Tuesday October 3rd, 2017||41W, 1D||2.9%||78.81%||2.9%||78.81%||13.7%||36%||54.3%||68.5%|
|Wednesday October 4th, 2017||41W, 2D||2.66%||81.59%||2.66%||81.59%||14.4%||37.5%||56.1%||70.2%|
|Thursday October 5th, 2017||41W, 3D||2.42%||84.13%||2.42%||84.13%||15.2%||39%||57.9%||71.9%|
|Friday October 6th, 2017||41W, 4D||2.18%||86.43%||2.18%||86.43%||16.1%||40.5%||59.6%||73.5%|
|Saturday October 7th, 2017||41W, 5D||1.94%||88.49%||1.94%||88.49%||16.9%||42%||61.3%||75.1%|
|Sunday October 8th, 2017||41W, 6D||1.71%||90.32%||1.71%||90.32%||17.7%||43.4%||62.9%||76.4%|
|Monday October 9th, 2017||42W, 0D||1.5%||91.92%||1.5%||91.92%||18.6%||44.8%||64.5%||77.8%|
|Tuesday October 10th, 2017||42W, 1D||1.3%||93.32%||1.3%||93.32%||19.5%||46.3%||65.9%||79.2%|
|Wednesday October 11th, 2017||42W, 2D||1.11%||94.52%||1.11%||94.52%||20.3%||47.6%||67.3%||80.5%|
|Thursday October 12th, 2017||42W, 3D||0.94%||95.54%||0.94%||95.54%||21.1%||48.9%||68.8%||81.6%|
|Friday October 13th, 2017||42W, 4D||0.79%||96.41%||0.79%||96.41%||22%||50.1%||70.2%||82.7%|
|Saturday October 14th, 2017||42W, 5D||0.66%||97.13%||0.66%||97.13%||23%||51.6%||71.4%||83.6%|
|Sunday October 15th, 2017||42W, 6D||0.54%||97.72%||0.54%||97.72%||23.7%||53.1%||72.8%||84.6%|
|Monday October 16th, 2017||43W, 0D||0.44%||98.21%||0.44%||98.21%||24.6%||54.2%||73.7%||85.5%|
|Tuesday October 17th, 2017||43W, 1D||0.35%||98.61%||0.35%||98.61%||25.2%||55.4%||74.8%||86.3%|
|Wednesday October 18th, 2017||43W, 2D||0.28%||98.93%||0.28%||98.93%||26.2%||56.1%||75.7%||87.9%|
|Thursday October 19th, 2017||43W, 3D||0.22%||99.18%||0.22%||99.18%||26.8%||57.3%||76.8%||-%|
|Friday October 20th, 2017||43W, 4D||0.18%||99.38%||0.18%||99.38%||29%||58.1%||79%||-%|
|Saturday October 21st, 2017||43W, 5D||0.14%||99.53%||0.14%||99.53%||29.8%||59.6%||-%||-%|
|Sunday October 22nd, 2017||43W, 6D||0.1%||99.65%||0.1%||99.65%||28.6%||62.9%||-%||-%|
|Monday October 23rd, 2017||44W, 0D||0.08%||99.74%||0.08%||99.74%||30.8%||-%||-%||-%|
|Tuesday October 24th, 2017||44W, 1D||0.06%||99.81%||0.06%||99.81%||31.6%||-%||-%||-%|
|Wednesday October 25th, 2017||44W, 2D||0.04%||99.87%||0.04%||99.87%||30.8%||-%||-%||-%|
All percentages are estimates based on mathematical averages and should not be taken terribly seriously... just because you only have 5% chance of going into labor two weeks early, that doesn't mean you should schedule a trip to the bahamas that weekend (see xkcd to get what I mean here).
You should (obviously) listen to your doctor or midwife on all matters related to pregnancy and childbirth. Just because this chart tells you that a 42W pregnant woman has a high chance of delivering in the next seven days, it doesn't mean it's healthy for her to be pregnant for seven more days. If your doctor wants to increase probability of delivery by inducing labor, there's probably a good reason.
Finding good distribution statistics on spontaneous labor is interesting. I have not found a study with an exact daily breakdown of when babies are born. However I have read way too much on this topic, so I can tell you that my favorite published research is The length of human pregnancy as calculated by ultrasonographic measurement of the fetal biparietal diameter (H. Kieler, O. Axelsson, S. Nilsson, U. Waldenströ) which a very nice table of 10 published studies, which found various means between 272-283 days. The study contributes their own results as well, analyzing nearly 2000 mothers who went into labor spontaneously, and there's graphs of what they found. They found a mean around 280 days, and standard deviations between 8-11 days. There's a big list of other studies and answers in the Introduction to my due date survey results.
Which leads to this topic... I am also in the process of collecting my own statistics. If you have had a baby, please take my due date survey. Oddly enough, the numbers I've collected so far support my messy hunch that pregnancy length has a 40-week mean and 9-10 day standard deviation. So go me.
Anyway if you have better research, drop me an e-mail (firstname.lastname@example.org).
Charts are generated by flot.
We didn't find out specifically because we didn't want a lot of pink stuff if it was a girl.
Somehow MIL has still given us a ton of pink clothing that she'll change him into everytime she comes over.
I hate pink.
We're traveling with a 2 yo and a 4yo this week. A 2 hr flight connecting to a 4 hr flight. I broke down and got tablets and headphones, now I just need to load them with movies/games. I'm packing treats and stickers and crayons and notepads. I'm almost positive I'll be carrying on a (very compactable) pillow, 'cause they don't give those out anymore on board. I'm banning toys that can roll several aisles fwd or back when inevitably dropped (besides the crayons). I was planning on gum for ascent/descent, but I think the suckers for the 2yo will be better. I'm so not looking forward to these flights. Maybe the kids will surprise me and be awesome. I'm not worried about the 4yo. But the 2yo...
Bilingualism! This is something I know a lot about! My last job was to speak English to my class in a partial immersion school and the kids picked up English so fast but spoke back to me in German. We worked on saying different words in German and in English and it meaning the same thing and I read English books to them. They differentiated pretty well but most of them came from a mono-lingual family background.
I can still highly recommend this book: (https://www.amazon.com/Third-Culture-Ki ... 1857885252) for bilingual children. Some very good advice in there.
Also, keep speaking English! Toddlers forget fast when a language is no longer present.
I agree with everything lyra211 said and will add a few more.
Things you don't need:
Anything soft, fluffy or furry. My baby couldn't care less about minky blankets and soft toys. Plus they seem more gross to clean when they get covered in bodily fluids.
Clothes that look like adult clothes. It's so difficult to squeeze baby thighs into miniature corduroys or denim jeans which have no give to the fabric.
Baby washcloths. Babies make a disproportionate amount of mess so you need adult size washcloths to clean them up.
Things that were super useful:
A folding changing mat. I have a SkipHop one which has enough storage for wipes and diapers, which was all I needed to carry with me when I had a newborn. Now that he's bigger, I appreciate the larger size of the mat because the one that came with my diaper bag is way too small.
Balls. They were the first thing he played with and still his favourite toys. At the beginning he liked one made by Oball which was easy to pick up, and a soft fabric one which made a crinkly noise. Now he loves throwing a soft rubber ball and watching it bounce.
I was proficient in fine/gross motor skills and cognitive development for my age, but I was further behind in speech/language development and social/emotional development. I caught up in them perhaps by ages 5-7, with vestiges of social issues lasting longer (like my temper). There was nothing inherently bad about being a bit off in timing, though in my case my imbalance was severe enough that I did need professional help from a speech pathologist.
....New social situations make me feel somewhat awkward, but I've also learned that many other people feel the same way about novel contexts, so I think I'm with the curve there.
geez, are you my twin, sonic? XD
I grew up with definite lag in speech/language development. I had a speech pathologist in elementary school work on my -L-'s, -r-'s and -th-'s; and when I essentially "graduated" from it I was taken out of the IEP program. my mom and I now see that being a mistake. middle school went decently, but I struggled in language arts; and by the time I went into high school I was struggling in my history/English humanities course and Algebra. I struggled in English classes because of my inability to express myself through language clearly, and I struggled in algebra because I couldn't follow a thing my teacher was saying (we had someone tutor me who literally asked why she was tutoring me because I grasped the concepts five minutes after her explaining it).
So I remember reading that some of you have offspring with 'strong' personalities. At our 15 month checkup, the pediatrician said "oh, he's very opinionated" and I was like "yeah, no fucking shit." But seriously, how do you handle it? All the advice seems to be that high need babies grow up to be great kids, but that does nothing to help me right now. In fact, it sounds like something you tell people so they'll continue to struggle through their current situation in the vague hope that it won't last forever.
Right now we're struggling with independent play. Actually he can play fine by himself if I'm in the room and not doing anything. But if I pay attention to something else, or actually try to leave the room, he gets mad and vocalizes his displeasure very loudly (no tears, more like a whining shout). Actually, he's been like this since he was he was born, but it's only now that I've realized it. I don't think it's separation anxiety (we have been through phases of that), but rather he just can't bear to miss out on something. He's really social, will hug total strangers and follow older kids (and animals) around the park. If he has attention from people, he couldn't care less where I am.
Thanks for the congratulations and encouragement.
I had an appointment with the obgyn today. He seems to think I'm even farther along than he originally thought. I didn't have an ultrasound. He just went by the size of my uterus. It's well over my belly button now. He's sending me to a high risk Dr. Asap and then I'm suppost to see him again on the 29th. By then he said they will have a better idea as to how far along I actually am. So far the pregnancy is going well. I did have complications with my first one and went to a specialist but this time I'm being referred to one because I'm old lol. They automatically send women when they are 35 and older.
Looking to know about the system and biology hehe ..
I find theimaginationtree.com has lots of inspiring ideas. Some look like they take quite a bit of prep, but if you're doing it for a whole class then it might be worth it. You can sort activities by age as well so it's easier to search.
I'm on the fence about this. I was always the youngest in my class because I was born 2 days before the cut off. I started school JUST after my 5th birthday (Go England.... not...) and this made a huge gap between me and the oldest kids in the class who were almost a whole year older. However, even though I might have struggled more then I'm ok now, you know? It might have even been helpful for me, pushing myself to learn more and try and be smarter. My sister was held back for a year in preschool in Germany because she didn't speak German well enough for the first grade and so she has always been the oldest in class and she's not really as academic as me. This is all anecdata of course, but interesting to ponder over.
My mum gave me 'Your Baby and Child' by Penelope Leach, which is what she used when she had me. It covers from birth to five years. I read the first section about newborns in preparation. After having the baby, I realised I have zero time or brain power to do anything so I never got around to the rest of it. In general, I liked the book though. It's a simple overview and has nice color photos.
My father in law does financial advising so we kind of have an in-house advisor? But seriously someone with expertise is great. There are various "how to do finances" through our local community ed, which I'd probably consider if I didn't already have someone to ask. Maybe something like that near you? Libraries also sometimes have programs.
Also I know you can do wills and stuff on your own but honestly I found it super useful to talk through it with a lawyer who does that. She thought of things we never would have. (hm really should revisit now that kid is older) It was a one time fee and not that bad.
We do most of our banking through a credit union. Have been happy with them. We refinanced our mortgage through them when we did that. I remember the big credit union bust ages ago, but there are lots more protections in place now and big banks can be pretty awful.
My brother's favorite stuffed animal was a thing we called 'gerbil'. I actually don't know what it was because we found it in the street (not sure what my mum was thinking in allowing him to pick it up, let alone keep it) and it had already lost an eye and was unidentifiable, but he became really attached to it. We almost missed a flight once because he dropped it in the airport and we had to go back to look for it.
Today for the first time my 11month old showed interest in a stuffed animal. Just before Christmas we received a box from Amazon with a giant bear inside. No gift wrap, no note. Just a bear the size of my child. It's been sat in his room and ignored completely, despite him exploring literally everything else that is in there. Then, out of the blue, he made a beeline for it and tried to pull its eyes out.
All the pliable/crafty stuff I can think of has been mentioned. ETA: I lied. Bread dough!
But if generally tactile surfaces also apply, mermaid sequin pillows are comforting. It was one of my impulse buys at a department store about a month ago. I couldn't stop petting the display. The sequined side seemed like it wouldn't be comfortable to rest on but it hasn't been an issue. My stepdad really likes them so I got him one for giftmas and he said it helps distract him when chronic pain keeps him awake at night. https://www.etsy.com/listing/470423508/ ... _active_40
I haven't field tested them on my nieces and nephews yet. That could be fun.