Pregnancy Due Date Ranges

This table attempts to estimate your probability of going into labor on different individual days based on your estimated due date. If you don't know your due date, or just want a handy daily page to tell you where you're at, use the pregnancy calendar.

It's based on the idea that the average pregnancy lasts 40 weeks with a standard deviation of about 10 days. This means you're more likely to go into labor on one of the days close to your due date. For instance, about half of all babies are born within a week of their date. Scroll to the bottom of this page if you want to know more about where I got these numbers.

The following dates are based on an estimated due date of December 20th, 2015.

Change due date:
Month Day Year
Date Progress Overall probability of
spontaneous labor
Current probability of
spontaneous labor
probability of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor
On this date By this date On this date By this date On this date Within 3 days Within 5 days Within 7 days
Sunday November 15th, 2015 35W, 0D 0.01% 0.02% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Monday November 16th, 2015 35W, 1D 0.01% 0.03% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
Tuesday November 17th, 2015 35W, 2D 0.02% 0.05% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
Wednesday November 18th, 2015 35W, 3D 0.02% 0.07% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6%
Thursday November 19th, 2015 35W, 4D 0.03% 0.1% -% -% -% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7%
Friday November 20th, 2015 35W, 5D 0.04% 0.13% -% -% -% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9%
Saturday November 21st, 2015 35W, 6D 0.06% 0.19% -% -% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2%
Sunday November 22nd, 2015 36W, 0D 0.08% 0.26% -% -% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5%
Monday November 23rd, 2015 36W, 1D 0.1% 0.35% -% -% 0.1% 0.5% 1% 1.9%
Tuesday November 24th, 2015 36W, 2D 0.14% 0.47% -% -% 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 2.4%
Wednesday November 25th, 2015 36W, 3D 0.18% 0.62% -% -% 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 3%
Thursday November 26th, 2015 36W, 4D 0.22% 0.82% -% -% 0.2% 1% 2.1% 3.7%
Friday November 27th, 2015 36W, 5D 0.28% 1.07% -% -% 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 4.5%
Saturday November 28th, 2015 36W, 6D 0.35% 1.39% -% -% 0.4% 1.5% 3.1% 5.4%
Sunday November 29th, 2015 37W, 0D 0.44% 1.79% -% -% 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 6.4%
Monday November 30th, 2015 37W, 1D 0.54% 2.28% -% -% 0.6% 2.2% 4.5% 7.6%
Tuesday December 1st, 2015 37W, 2D 0.66% 2.87% -% -% 0.7% 2.7% 5.4% 8.9%
Wednesday December 2nd, 2015 37W, 3D 0.79% 3.59% -% -% 0.8% 3.2% 6.3% 10.4%
Thursday December 3rd, 2015 37W, 4D 0.94% 4.46% -% -% 1% 3.8% 7.4% 11.9%
Friday December 4th, 2015 37W, 5D 1.11% 5.48% -% -% 1.2% 4.4% 8.6% 13.7%
Saturday December 5th, 2015 37W, 6D 1.3% 6.68% -% -% 1.4% 5.2% 9.8% 15.5%
Sunday December 6th, 2015 38W, 0D 1.5% 8.08% -% -% 1.6% 6% 11.2% 17.5%
Monday December 7th, 2015 38W, 1D 1.71% 9.68% -% -% 1.9% 6.9% 12.7% 19.7%
Tuesday December 8th, 2015 38W, 2D 1.94% 11.51% -% -% 2.2% 7.8% 14.3% 21.9%
Wednesday December 9th, 2015 38W, 3D 2.18% 13.57% -% -% 2.5% 8.8% 16% 24.2%
Thursday December 10th, 2015 38W, 4D 2.42% 15.87% -% -% 2.9% 9.9% 17.8% 26.6%
Friday December 11th, 2015 38W, 5D 2.66% 18.41% -% -% 3.3% 11.1% 19.7% 29%
Saturday December 12th, 2015 38W, 6D 2.9% 21.19% -% -% 3.7% 12.3% 21.6% 31.5%
Sunday December 13th, 2015 39W, 0D 3.12% 24.2% -% -% 4.1% 13.5% 23.6% 34%
Monday December 14th, 2015 39W, 1D 3.33% 27.43% -% -% 4.6% 14.9% 25.6% 36.6%
Tuesday December 15th, 2015 39W, 2D 3.52% 30.85% -% -% 5.1% 16.2% 27.7% 39.2%
Wednesday December 16th, 2015 39W, 3D 3.68% 34.46% -% -% 5.6% 17.6% 29.8% 41.7%
Thursday December 17th, 2015 39W, 4D 3.81% 38.21% -% -% 6.2% 19.1% 31.9% 44.2%
Friday December 18th, 2015 39W, 5D 3.91% 42.07% -% -% 6.7% 20.6% 34% 46.7%
Saturday December 19th, 2015 39W, 6D 3.97% 46.02% -% -% 7.4% 22.1% 36.2% 49.2%
Sunday December 20th, 2015 40W, 0D 3.99% 50% -% -% 8% 23.6% 38.3% 51.6%
Monday December 21st, 2015 40W, 1D 3.97% 53.98% -% -% 8.6% 25.1% 40.4% 54%
Tuesday December 22nd, 2015 40W, 2D 3.91% 57.93% -% -% 9.3% 26.7% 42.5% 56.2%
Wednesday December 23rd, 2015 40W, 3D 3.81% 61.79% -% -% 10% 28.2% 44.5% 58.5%
Thursday December 24th, 2015 40W, 4D 3.68% 65.54% -% -% 10.7% 29.8% 46.6% 60.6%
Friday December 25th, 2015 40W, 5D 3.52% 69.15% -% -% 11.4% 31.3% 48.6% 62.7%
Saturday December 26th, 2015 40W, 6D 3.33% 72.57% -% -% 12.1% 32.9% 50.5% 64.7%
Sunday December 27th, 2015 41W, 0D 3.12% 75.8% -% -% 12.9% 34.4% 52.4% 66.6%
Monday December 28th, 2015 41W, 1D 2.9% 78.81% -% -% 13.7% 36% 54.3% 68.5%
Tuesday December 29th, 2015 41W, 2D 2.66% 81.59% -% -% 14.4% 37.5% 56.1% 70.2%
Wednesday December 30th, 2015 41W, 3D 2.42% 84.13% -% -% 15.2% 39% 57.9% 71.9%
Thursday December 31st, 2015 41W, 4D 2.18% 86.43% -% -% 16.1% 40.5% 59.6% 73.5%
Friday January 1st, 2016 41W, 5D 1.94% 88.49% -% -% 16.9% 42% 61.3% 75.1%
Saturday January 2nd, 2016 41W, 6D 1.71% 90.32% -% -% 17.7% 43.4% 62.9% 76.4%
Sunday January 3rd, 2016 42W, 0D 1.5% 91.92% -% -% 18.6% 44.8% 64.5% 77.8%
Monday January 4th, 2016 42W, 1D 1.3% 93.32% -% -% 19.5% 46.3% 65.9% 79.2%
Tuesday January 5th, 2016 42W, 2D 1.11% 94.52% -% -% 20.3% 47.6% 67.3% 80.5%
Wednesday January 6th, 2016 42W, 3D 0.94% 95.54% -% -% 21.1% 48.9% 68.8% 81.6%
Thursday January 7th, 2016 42W, 4D 0.79% 96.41% -% -% 22% 50.1% 70.2% 82.7%
Friday January 8th, 2016 42W, 5D 0.66% 97.13% -% -% 23% 51.6% 71.4% 83.6%
Saturday January 9th, 2016 42W, 6D 0.54% 97.72% -% -% 23.7% 53.1% 72.8% 84.6%
Sunday January 10th, 2016 43W, 0D 0.44% 98.21% -% -% 24.6% 54.2% 73.7% 85.5%
Monday January 11th, 2016 43W, 1D 0.35% 98.61% -% -% 25.2% 55.4% 74.8% 86.3%
Tuesday January 12th, 2016 43W, 2D 0.28% 98.93% -% -% 26.2% 56.1% 75.7% 87.9%
Wednesday January 13th, 2016 43W, 3D 0.22% 99.18% -% -% 26.8% 57.3% 76.8% -%
Thursday January 14th, 2016 43W, 4D 0.18% 99.38% -% -% 29% 58.1% 79% -%
Friday January 15th, 2016 43W, 5D 0.14% 99.53% -% -% 29.8% 59.6% -% -%
Saturday January 16th, 2016 43W, 6D 0.1% 99.65% -% -% 28.6% 62.9% -% -%
Sunday January 17th, 2016 44W, 0D 0.08% 99.74% -% -% 30.8% -% -% -%
Monday January 18th, 2016 44W, 1D 0.06% 99.81% -% -% 31.6% -% -% -%
Tuesday January 19th, 2016 44W, 2D 0.04% 99.87% -% -% 30.8% -% -% -%

Probability of labor on a given day

Probability of labor by a given day

Notes and disclaimers

All percentages are estimates based on mathematical averages and should not be taken terribly seriously... just because you only have 5% chance of going into labor two weeks early, that doesn't mean you should schedule a trip to the bahamas that weekend (see xkcd to get what I mean here).

You should (obviously) listen to your doctor or midwife on all matters related to pregnancy and childbirth. Just because this chart tells you that a 42W pregnant woman has a high chance of delivering in the next seven days, it doesn't mean it's healthy for her to be pregnant for seven more days. If your doctor wants to increase probability of delivery by inducing labor, there's probably a good reason.

Finding good distribution statistics on spontaneous labor is interesting. I have not found a study with an exact daily breakdown of when babies are born. However I have read way too much on this topic, so I can tell you that my favorite published research is The length of human pregnancy as calculated by ultrasonographic measurement of the fetal biparietal diameter (H. Kieler, O. Axelsson, S. Nilsson, U. Waldenströ) which a very nice table of 10 published studies, which found various means between 272-283 days. The study contributes their own results as well, analyzing nearly 2000 mothers who went into labor spontaneously, and there's graphs of what they found. They found a mean around 280 days, and standard deviations between 8-11 days. There's a big list of other studies and answers in the Introduction to my due date survey results.

Which leads to this topic... I am also in the process of collecting my own statistics. If you have had a baby, please take my due date survey. Oddly enough, the numbers I've collected so far support my messy hunch that pregnancy length has a 40-week mean and 9-10 day standard deviation. So go me.

Anyway if you have better research, drop me an e-mail (spacefem@spacefem.com).

Charts are generated by flot.

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Recent Comments

For more support, encouragement, Q&A, you are invited to join our pregnancy forum. We are dedicated to answering complicated questions as logically as we possibly can.

How NOT to help parents with a newborn

Fri Jul 22 6:11 PM by missmay in Pregnancy & Parenting

oh, lord, i am so tired of people telling me to "enjoy it!" regarding my newborn. and asking me if she is a "good baby." how could a baby be bad? and how does it make me enjoy her more to be reminded to do so? i imagine that if i was depressed and had a colicky baby these questions would be even more obnoxious.


it gets better thread for parents

Mon Jun 13 11:16 PM by rowan in Pregnancy & Parenting

Sometimes I think they go through a growth spurt or something weird-ass like that and then when it's done it gets better again. But who knows, kids are weird. It will get better again. We seem to be having night terrors again though not as badly as before. Those seem to correlate with growth spurts (for us). They are tailing off again so hopefully...?


Pregnancy Guidebooks for Cool Moms (humor)

Wed May 11 3:39 PM by rowan in Pregnancy & Parenting

One of my friends is part of this magazine. She didn't write this one but it's pretty hilarious.

http://theoffingmag.com/wits-end/pregna ... cool-moms/

Anyone want to come up with our own "Guidebook" titles?

spoiler:
the one about inducing labor by setting your hair on fire is my favorite


stuttering at the end of words

Thu Apr 28 9:21 PM by Sonic# in Pregnancy & Parenting

I don't think it's a cause for immediate concern, but my experience would lead me to talk to a doctor about it. I didn't have a stutter when I was 2. I had language delay. I didn't learn language when kids typically do. Needless to say, I was a very frustrated little kid. When my parents and my pediatrician caught on to it, I had to spend a few years seeing a speech pathologist.

I've read that stuttering is at least partly psychological, but I really can't say more than that. If nothing else, I'd just want to know that his frustration is a necessary part of development like teething and not something that can be avoided.


Criminalization of drug use during pregnancy to end in Tennessee

Tue Mar 29 2:48 AM by Amuro in Pregnancy & Parenting

Actually I think it would be better if the penalty was rehab and being sent to a therapist. It's pretty dumb to criminalize it especially because there is an almost certainty custody will be taken away. Why not try and fix the problem with addiction so there is less of a strain on social services. There should be increased awareness but what idiot doesn't know drugs are bad for you and worse if your pregnant. If you are addicted to drugs you obviously are thinking about getting high and that's about it.


Denial Trends?

Thu Jul 21 7:24 PM by SameMom in Pregnancy & Parenting

Sorry, if I was not able to mention other details. Actually, I have a (US) medicare insurance. And I am particularly referring to this denial management software which help clients with their claims. Thanks for your reply. :)


Kids are full of LIES

Sun May 22 2:29 PM by rowan in Pregnancy & Parenting

Don't be silly monk, everyone knows a good conglomerate goes better with milk


young kids, consent and bodily autonomy

Mon May 2 8:46 PM by monk in Pregnancy & Parenting

I think it depends on the child. Do you ask a newborn if it needs it's diaper changed? Obviously no. Do you help a 13 year old get dressed? Obviously no. Somewhere in there the child matures to the point where they should learn that they own their bodies even if they don't have all the privileges an adult does. This age is going to vary wildly between different children (by widly, I would say 3 year range). I would guess that some kids might be ready for this lesson as early as 3 while others not until they're about to go school. Actually that's a pretty good benchmark, because if you're going to put them in a group with other kids they don't know they should know the rules about touching or being touched.

As far as kissing Grandma, maybe they shouldn't have to do it, but making them do this social communcation helps get them ready for all the other social communication that will be forced on them later. Plus, grandma needs that love to help HER be healthy.


Umbilical cord

Wed Apr 27 1:26 AM by antfancier in Pregnancy & Parenting

There's a Bulgarian tradition about the umbilical cord my friend told me about. When the dried little stump falls off your baby, you're supposed to throw it in a place that reflects your child's future, or at least the future you want for them. My friend threw his first son's on to the pitch at a Yankees' game and for his second son he threw it at the stage during a concert!

When my son's cord fell off a few weeks ago, I put it on the counter next to his changing pad then promptly forgot about it. I've no idea where it is now.


Pets and newborns

Tue Mar 22 2:34 AM by codingchemist in Pregnancy & Parenting

It's really obvious that the dog is stressed out by the toddler and I'm worried about the times when the kid is showing too much interest in the dog and we're not paying enough attention.

Yeah-stressed out dogs can make for stressful times with toddlers. Toddlers just want to pet and hug, and don't want to listen to pleas to leave the dog alone. We wound up getting an automatic treat dispenser and giving the dog relaxation exercises behind a barrier. So now when the toddler is running the length of the house screaming, the dog can be behind the barrier staring lovingly at her treat dispenser, instead of trying to herd the kid. Of course, it isn't really feasible to keep the dog behind the barriers at all times, but at least it gives us some breaks.

Our behavioralist also recommended Prozac, which took a long time to get the dose right, but has helped the dog be less reactionary and neurotic.


Public Service Announcement: Furniture Anchors!

Fri Jul 1 5:17 AM by cwbyrvr in Pregnancy & Parenting

I do find it very interesting to find that IKEA is recalling furniture because people don't secure it to walls... I was given anchors with all of the stuff I've bought from there. Though maybe that's only a somewhat recent thing? It was over a half a year ago that I bought stuff from there, though.

And I didn't use the anchors... I guess I am about to be an aunt and it might be a good idea to get that stuff secured in case I ever end up watching my niece here. Hadn't really worried about it prior because there was literally never going to be a time I'd have kids running around this place. The likelihood of my niece ever being here is pretty damn low too, but I wouldn't say 0%.


minimalist kids birthday parties

Sun May 15 9:19 PM by melsbells in Pregnancy & Parenting

For the first two birthdays, we tried to make some special food and splurge on interesting fruit. If I lived closer to friends, I would want to throw a get-together as an excuse to see my friends, celebrate our survival of another year. I don't think my kid would actually be into that though. They are turning out to be quite introverted and shy.


7th Birthday - Theme Suggestion

Mon May 2 8:18 PM by melsbells in Pregnancy & Parenting

I met a kid about that age who had a geo-caching birthday party and another one who had a roller-skating party. Both sounded awesome. The first one sounded like a whole lot of work to put together.


test out my new name picker

Fri Apr 15 11:41 PM by rowan in Pregnancy & Parenting

my neighbor's dog is named Gunner? Makes more sense for a bird dog....


Sperm Can be Cultivated from Skin Cells

Thu Mar 10 6:56 PM by rowan in Pregnancy & Parenting

Pretty sure this was a spam post but the post itself is kind of interesting. Maybe it could go to Sci & Tech, though it has relevance here as well. I added a link to the Science article, in case anyone wants to read it.