This table attempts to estimate your probability of going into labor on different individual days based on your estimated due date. If you don't know your due date, or just want a handy daily page to tell you where you're at, use the pregnancy calendar.
It's based on the idea that the average pregnancy lasts 40 weeks with a standard deviation of about 10 days. This means you're more likely to go into labor on one of the days close to your due date. For instance, about half of all babies are born within a week of their date. Scroll to the bottom of this page if you want to know more about where I got these numbers.
The following dates are based on an estimated due date of December 20th, 2014.
|Date||Progress||Overall probability of
|Current probability of
|probability of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor|
|On this date||By this date||On this date||By this date||On this date||Within 3 days||Within 5 days||Within 7 days|
|Saturday November 15th, 2014||35W, 0D||0.01%||0.02%||-%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.1%||0.2%|
|Sunday November 16th, 2014||35W, 1D||0.01%||0.03%||-%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.2%||0.3%|
|Monday November 17th, 2014||35W, 2D||0.02%||0.05%||-%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.2%||0.4%|
|Tuesday November 18th, 2014||35W, 3D||0.02%||0.07%||-%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.3%||0.6%|
|Wednesday November 19th, 2014||35W, 4D||0.03%||0.1%||-%||-%||-%||0.2%||0.4%||0.7%|
|Thursday November 20th, 2014||35W, 5D||0.04%||0.13%||-%||-%||-%||0.2%||0.5%||0.9%|
|Friday November 21st, 2014||35W, 6D||0.06%||0.19%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.3%||0.6%||1.2%|
|Saturday November 22nd, 2014||36W, 0D||0.08%||0.26%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.4%||0.8%||1.5%|
|Sunday November 23rd, 2014||36W, 1D||0.1%||0.35%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.5%||1%||1.9%|
|Monday November 24th, 2014||36W, 2D||0.14%||0.47%||-%||-%||0.1%||0.6%||1.3%||2.4%|
|Tuesday November 25th, 2014||36W, 3D||0.18%||0.62%||-%||-%||0.2%||0.8%||1.7%||3%|
|Wednesday November 26th, 2014||36W, 4D||0.22%||0.82%||-%||-%||0.2%||1%||2.1%||3.7%|
|Thursday November 27th, 2014||36W, 5D||0.28%||1.07%||-%||-%||0.3%||1.2%||2.5%||4.5%|
|Friday November 28th, 2014||36W, 6D||0.35%||1.39%||-%||-%||0.4%||1.5%||3.1%||5.4%|
|Saturday November 29th, 2014||37W, 0D||0.44%||1.79%||-%||-%||0.4%||1.8%||3.8%||6.4%|
|Sunday November 30th, 2014||37W, 1D||0.54%||2.28%||-%||-%||0.6%||2.2%||4.5%||7.6%|
|Monday December 1st, 2014||37W, 2D||0.66%||2.87%||-%||-%||0.7%||2.7%||5.4%||8.9%|
|Tuesday December 2nd, 2014||37W, 3D||0.79%||3.59%||-%||-%||0.8%||3.2%||6.3%||10.4%|
|Wednesday December 3rd, 2014||37W, 4D||0.94%||4.46%||-%||-%||1%||3.8%||7.4%||11.9%|
|Thursday December 4th, 2014||37W, 5D||1.11%||5.48%||-%||-%||1.2%||4.4%||8.6%||13.7%|
|Friday December 5th, 2014||37W, 6D||1.3%||6.68%||-%||-%||1.4%||5.2%||9.8%||15.5%|
|Saturday December 6th, 2014||38W, 0D||1.5%||8.08%||-%||-%||1.6%||6%||11.2%||17.5%|
|Sunday December 7th, 2014||38W, 1D||1.71%||9.68%||-%||-%||1.9%||6.9%||12.7%||19.7%|
|Monday December 8th, 2014||38W, 2D||1.94%||11.51%||-%||-%||2.2%||7.8%||14.3%||21.9%|
|Tuesday December 9th, 2014||38W, 3D||2.18%||13.57%||-%||-%||2.5%||8.8%||16%||24.2%|
|Wednesday December 10th, 2014||38W, 4D||2.42%||15.87%||-%||-%||2.9%||9.9%||17.8%||26.6%|
|Thursday December 11th, 2014||38W, 5D||2.66%||18.41%||-%||-%||3.3%||11.1%||19.7%||29%|
|Friday December 12th, 2014||38W, 6D||2.9%||21.19%||-%||-%||3.7%||12.3%||21.6%||31.5%|
|Saturday December 13th, 2014||39W, 0D||3.12%||24.2%||-%||-%||4.1%||13.5%||23.6%||34%|
|Sunday December 14th, 2014||39W, 1D||3.33%||27.43%||-%||-%||4.6%||14.9%||25.6%||36.6%|
|Monday December 15th, 2014||39W, 2D||3.52%||30.85%||-%||-%||5.1%||16.2%||27.7%||39.2%|
|Tuesday December 16th, 2014||39W, 3D||3.68%||34.46%||-%||-%||5.6%||17.6%||29.8%||41.7%|
|Wednesday December 17th, 2014||39W, 4D||3.81%||38.21%||-%||-%||6.2%||19.1%||31.9%||44.2%|
|Thursday December 18th, 2014||39W, 5D||3.91%||42.07%||-%||-%||6.7%||20.6%||34%||46.7%|
|Friday December 19th, 2014||39W, 6D||3.97%||46.02%||-%||-%||7.4%||22.1%||36.2%||49.2%|
|Saturday December 20th, 2014||40W, 0D||3.99%||50%||-%||-%||8%||23.6%||38.3%||51.6%|
|Sunday December 21st, 2014||40W, 1D||3.97%||53.98%||-%||-%||8.6%||25.1%||40.4%||54%|
|Monday December 22nd, 2014||40W, 2D||3.91%||57.93%||-%||-%||9.3%||26.7%||42.5%||56.2%|
|Tuesday December 23rd, 2014||40W, 3D||3.81%||61.79%||-%||-%||10%||28.2%||44.5%||58.5%|
|Wednesday December 24th, 2014||40W, 4D||3.68%||65.54%||-%||-%||10.7%||29.8%||46.6%||60.6%|
|Thursday December 25th, 2014||40W, 5D||3.52%||69.15%||-%||-%||11.4%||31.3%||48.6%||62.7%|
|Friday December 26th, 2014||40W, 6D||3.33%||72.57%||-%||-%||12.1%||32.9%||50.5%||64.7%|
|Saturday December 27th, 2014||41W, 0D||3.12%||75.8%||-%||-%||12.9%||34.4%||52.4%||66.6%|
|Sunday December 28th, 2014||41W, 1D||2.9%||78.81%||-%||-%||13.7%||36%||54.3%||68.5%|
|Monday December 29th, 2014||41W, 2D||2.66%||81.59%||-%||-%||14.4%||37.5%||56.1%||70.2%|
|Tuesday December 30th, 2014||41W, 3D||2.42%||84.13%||-%||-%||15.2%||39%||57.9%||71.9%|
|Wednesday December 31st, 2014||41W, 4D||2.18%||86.43%||-%||-%||16.1%||40.5%||59.6%||73.5%|
|Thursday January 1st, 2015||41W, 5D||1.94%||88.49%||-%||-%||16.9%||42%||61.3%||75.1%|
|Friday January 2nd, 2015||41W, 6D||1.71%||90.32%||-%||-%||17.7%||43.4%||62.9%||76.4%|
|Saturday January 3rd, 2015||42W, 0D||1.5%||91.92%||-%||-%||18.6%||44.8%||64.5%||77.8%|
|Sunday January 4th, 2015||42W, 1D||1.3%||93.32%||-%||-%||19.5%||46.3%||65.9%||79.2%|
|Monday January 5th, 2015||42W, 2D||1.11%||94.52%||-%||-%||20.3%||47.6%||67.3%||80.5%|
|Tuesday January 6th, 2015||42W, 3D||0.94%||95.54%||-%||-%||21.1%||48.9%||68.8%||81.6%|
|Wednesday January 7th, 2015||42W, 4D||0.79%||96.41%||-%||-%||22%||50.1%||70.2%||82.7%|
|Thursday January 8th, 2015||42W, 5D||0.66%||97.13%||-%||-%||23%||51.6%||71.4%||83.6%|
|Friday January 9th, 2015||42W, 6D||0.54%||97.72%||-%||-%||23.7%||53.1%||72.8%||84.6%|
|Saturday January 10th, 2015||43W, 0D||0.44%||98.21%||-%||-%||24.6%||54.2%||73.7%||85.5%|
|Sunday January 11th, 2015||43W, 1D||0.35%||98.61%||-%||-%||25.2%||55.4%||74.8%||86.3%|
|Monday January 12th, 2015||43W, 2D||0.28%||98.93%||-%||-%||26.2%||56.1%||75.7%||87.9%|
|Tuesday January 13th, 2015||43W, 3D||0.22%||99.18%||-%||-%||26.8%||57.3%||76.8%||-%|
|Wednesday January 14th, 2015||43W, 4D||0.18%||99.38%||-%||-%||29%||58.1%||79%||-%|
|Thursday January 15th, 2015||43W, 5D||0.14%||99.53%||-%||-%||29.8%||59.6%||-%||-%|
|Friday January 16th, 2015||43W, 6D||0.1%||99.65%||-%||-%||28.6%||62.9%||-%||-%|
|Saturday January 17th, 2015||44W, 0D||0.08%||99.74%||-%||-%||30.8%||-%||-%||-%|
|Sunday January 18th, 2015||44W, 1D||0.06%||99.81%||-%||-%||31.6%||-%||-%||-%|
|Monday January 19th, 2015||44W, 2D||0.04%||99.87%||-%||-%||30.8%||-%||-%||-%|
All percentages are estimates based on mathematical averages and should not be taken terribly seriously... just because you only have 5% chance of going into labor two weeks early, that doesn't mean you should schedule a trip to the bahamas that weekend (see xkcd to get what I mean here).
You should (obviously) listen to your doctor or midwife on all matters related to pregnancy and childbirth. Just because this chart tells you that a 42W pregnant woman has a high chance of delivering in the next seven days, it doesn't mean it's healthy for her to be pregnant for seven more days. If your doctor wants to increase probability of delivery by inducing labor, there's probably a good reason.
Finding good distribution statistics on spontaneous labor is interesting. I have not found a study with an exact daily breakdown of when babies are born. However I have read way too much on this topic, so I can tell you that my favorite published research is The length of human pregnancy as calculated by ultrasonographic measurement of the fetal biparietal diameter (H. Kieler, O. Axelsson, S. Nilsson, U. Waldenströ) which a very nice table of 10 published studies, which found various means between 272-283 days. The study contributes their own results as well, analyzing nearly 2000 mothers who went into labor spontaneously, and there's graphs of what they found. They found a mean around 280 days, and standard deviations between 8-11 days. There's a big list of other studies and answers in the Introduction to my due date survey results.
Which leads to this topic... I am also in the process of collecting my own statistics. If you have had a baby, please take my due date survey. Oddly enough, the numbers I've collected so far support my messy hunch that pregnancy length has a 40-week mean and 9-10 day standard deviation. So go me.
Anyway if you have better research, drop me an e-mail (email@example.com).
Charts are generated by flot.
However, one thing I remember clearly from my childhood is being very afraid of death.
I remember when I first realized that we die when we get old. I told my best friend at the time and he got really upset. I never quite had the need for an afterlife, though I remember at about 10 I conceived that when we died maybe we came back again as someone else. This was before I knew that someone else had already thought of that
Presently I'm still open to the idea of some sort of afterlife when we die. One thing I find inspirational when I'm depressed is the thought that there might be some sort of new and interesting afterlife when we die. It can give me energy to keep on with this life. But the idea of eternal punishment for our sins in the afterlife? I'd say to the average man that's the same as "Life's a bitch and then you die and then you go to hell and suffer". The idea that we MIGHT get punished for our sins when we die, for most of us, only serves to make our lives more fearful and miserable and then of course when we die we may well find that no such punishment exists. Like the saying goes "Cheer up, it might never happen". The only usefulness I think of for the idea of afterlife retribution, is something with which to scare a tyrant who is so powerful that apparently nothing in this life can stop him or her abusing people and nature. By telling them that there might be something in the afterlife holding them to account, you might actually scare them into reconsidering their behaviour. But I'd say that for most people, hell or other afterlife punishment, is an unnecessary fear.
Cute kids, and I love the cupcake theme!
Adding to the newborn edition:
Knowingly fell asleep on the couch with baby on your chest because...sleep...
Used a tablet or phone to surf net or play games while nursing rather than cherishing every moment
Took baby out in public solely because it's really great to hear strangers compliment your adorable little being.
They'll chew on anything and everything. And I think you may have the scale wrong. These are large silicone beads. Think of it as a teething/chewing toy that is long enough to be worn around mom's neck. This isn't a string of pearls that will break if you tug on it and you'll and up with a mess of pearls on the floor or in baby's mouth. Google images for "babies and chew beads".
And these are not at all related to those dumb amber necklaces...
I'm definitely in the "happy healthy child is my only goal" camp. I know some people who are superstars in their chosen fields. From what I can tell, being a superstar is completely exhausting and often really psychologically taxing. So if my kid isn't naturally inclined that way, I certainly don't intend to push them.
If I'm hoping for anything, I hope they'll end up being a quirky artsy/techy type like just about everyone else in the family. But my brother's a corporate lawyer and I love him anyway, so even if our kid turns out to be a white sheep, they'll just bond with Uncle A and it'll all be fine.
Was just in the hospital for a pre-term labour false alarm earlier this week.
My Braxton Hicks have changed this time around to be sometimes painful, period-like cramps extending to my lower back with contractions that are fairly regular (every 10 to 15 minutes regardless of what I am doing). But they have been medically confirmed to still just be Braxton Hicks :o
As a general comment, my BH have always been symmetric, so symmetry was never a good marker for me.
So... second time around and I still can't tell the difference
It's not my baby, but my sister taught my best friend's baby how to fist bump and I taught her how to say yolo. Heh.
Oh that reminded me of a friend's kid... My friend, her 6-yr old son and her 9-yr old daughter were driving to school in the morning, when the son proudly declared "When I grow up I want to be a racist." My friend said she went O_O and her daughter went on a rant as to how horrible of an idea that was... The son was all sad and confused when he responded "But I really love race cars!"
That cracked me up.
I absolutely loved at least one of the Berenstain Bears books (one based off of the Tortoise and the Hare), but I also hate at least one of them. The Berenstain Bears and the Trouble With Chores features a Mama Bear exasperated that no one is doing chores, with the kid bears and Papa Bear keep excusing themselves out of doing them. Rather than coming to some equitable distribution of labor by the end, the house gets really bad and the kids and pop finally binge clean. The situation didn't seem solved; Mama Bear just seemed pacified.
I'm currently 37 weeks, and while almost all my immediate coworkers have been super supportive of my being at work (and planning to continue being at work), I got a "tsk tsk" from another woman the other day about not taking my leave yet, and she hasn't been the first one. (Interestingly, so far it's only been the women who seem to think I'm supposed to leave already.)
Anyway, my line has been, "I'm really enjoying my project right now. I might as well enjoy it while I can!" (Which is true, and also generally shuts them up.)
Good luck! I hope the BP stays under the magic threshold.
3. I think you're putting on too much weight. You know it''s going to make it harder to get your body back. (I'm 6 months post baby today, so now the comments have turned to "I told you!")
As a grade school kid, I spent a lot of time perusing dictionaries, atlases and world almanacs. I blame it on my Big Bird's Sesame Street Dictionary, which was awesome:
Did anyone else own these? I have the full set stashed somewhere for when my kid is old enough.
I encountered this randomly the other day. Now I need to go dig some more into it...
I am actually a big fan of the wonder weeks. I found it better than most popular level books looking at infant development. My son was right on the clock for the fussy/happy times, and it was interesting to look for the new skills that I might not have noticed if I hadn't been watching for them.
On the other hand, I stumbled upon this accidentally, so didn't have any hype surrounding it. I also read the author biographies before picking up the book, so took everything with a grain of salt knowing that 1) the authors specialized in chimpanzees, not humans, and developed their theories based on chimps; 2) the bulk of the research is greater than 20 years old and so much of the book is out-dated; and 3) given #'s 1&2, incidental parenting advice had to be filtered.
That said, I still found the book useful and regularly recommend it to people.