Pregnancy Due Date Ranges

This table attempts to estimate your probability of going into labor on different individual days based on your estimated due date. If you don't know your due date, or just want a handy daily page to tell you where you're at, use the pregnancy calendar.

It's based on the idea that the average pregnancy lasts 40 weeks with a standard deviation of about 10 days. This means you're more likely to go into labor on one of the days close to your due date. For instance, about half of all babies are born within a week of their date. Scroll to the bottom of this page if you want to know more about where I got these numbers.

The following dates are based on an estimated due date of May 27th, 2022.

Change due date:
Month Day Year
Date Progress Overall probability of
spontaneous labor
Current probability of
spontaneous labor
probability of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor
On this date By this date On this date By this date On this date Within 3 days Within 5 days Within 7 days
Friday April 22nd, 2022 35W, 0D 0.01% 0.02% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Saturday April 23rd, 2022 35W, 1D 0.01% 0.03% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
Sunday April 24th, 2022 35W, 2D 0.02% 0.05% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
Monday April 25th, 2022 35W, 3D 0.02% 0.07% -% -% -% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6%
Tuesday April 26th, 2022 35W, 4D 0.03% 0.1% -% -% -% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7%
Wednesday April 27th, 2022 35W, 5D 0.04% 0.13% -% -% -% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9%
Thursday April 28th, 2022 35W, 6D 0.06% 0.19% -% -% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2%
Friday April 29th, 2022 36W, 0D 0.08% 0.26% -% -% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5%
Saturday April 30th, 2022 36W, 1D 0.1% 0.35% -% -% 0.1% 0.5% 1% 1.9%
Sunday May 1st, 2022 36W, 2D 0.14% 0.47% -% -% 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 2.4%
Monday May 2nd, 2022 36W, 3D 0.18% 0.62% -% -% 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 3%
Tuesday May 3rd, 2022 36W, 4D 0.22% 0.82% -% -% 0.2% 1% 2.1% 3.7%
Wednesday May 4th, 2022 36W, 5D 0.28% 1.07% -% -% 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 4.5%
Thursday May 5th, 2022 36W, 6D 0.35% 1.39% -% -% 0.4% 1.5% 3.1% 5.4%
Friday May 6th, 2022 37W, 0D 0.44% 1.79% -% -% 0.4% 1.8% 3.8% 6.4%
Saturday May 7th, 2022 37W, 1D 0.54% 2.28% -% -% 0.6% 2.2% 4.5% 7.6%
Sunday May 8th, 2022 37W, 2D 0.66% 2.87% -% -% 0.7% 2.7% 5.4% 8.9%
Monday May 9th, 2022 37W, 3D 0.79% 3.59% -% -% 0.8% 3.2% 6.3% 10.4%
Tuesday May 10th, 2022 37W, 4D 0.94% 4.46% -% -% 1% 3.8% 7.4% 11.9%
Wednesday May 11th, 2022 37W, 5D 1.11% 5.48% -% -% 1.2% 4.4% 8.6% 13.7%
Thursday May 12th, 2022 37W, 6D 1.3% 6.68% -% -% 1.4% 5.2% 9.8% 15.5%
Friday May 13th, 2022 38W, 0D 1.5% 8.08% -% -% 1.6% 6% 11.2% 17.5%
Saturday May 14th, 2022 38W, 1D 1.71% 9.68% -% -% 1.9% 6.9% 12.7% 19.7%
Sunday May 15th, 2022 38W, 2D 1.94% 11.51% -% -% 2.2% 7.8% 14.3% 21.9%
Monday May 16th, 2022 38W, 3D 2.18% 13.57% -% -% 2.5% 8.8% 16% 24.2%
Tuesday May 17th, 2022 38W, 4D 2.42% 15.87% -% -% 2.9% 9.9% 17.8% 26.6%
Wednesday May 18th, 2022 38W, 5D 2.66% 18.41% -% -% 3.3% 11.1% 19.7% 29%
Thursday May 19th, 2022 38W, 6D 2.9% 21.19% -% -% 3.7% 12.3% 21.6% 31.5%
Friday May 20th, 2022 39W, 0D 3.12% 24.2% -% -% 4.1% 13.5% 23.6% 34%
Saturday May 21st, 2022 39W, 1D 3.33% 27.43% -% -% 4.6% 14.9% 25.6% 36.6%
Sunday May 22nd, 2022 39W, 2D 3.52% 30.85% -% -% 5.1% 16.2% 27.7% 39.2%
Monday May 23rd, 2022 39W, 3D 3.68% 34.46% -% -% 5.6% 17.6% 29.8% 41.7%
Tuesday May 24th, 2022 39W, 4D 3.81% 38.21% -% -% 6.2% 19.1% 31.9% 44.2%
Wednesday May 25th, 2022 39W, 5D 3.91% 42.07% -% -% 6.7% 20.6% 34% 46.7%
Thursday May 26th, 2022 39W, 6D 3.97% 46.02% -% -% 7.4% 22.1% 36.2% 49.2%
Friday May 27th, 2022 40W, 0D 3.99% 50% 8% 0% 8% 23.6% 38.3% 51.6%
Saturday May 28th, 2022 40W, 1D 3.97% 53.98% 7.9% 8% 8.6% 25.1% 40.4% 54%
Sunday May 29th, 2022 40W, 2D 3.91% 57.93% 7.8% 15.9% 9.3% 26.7% 42.5% 56.2%
Monday May 30th, 2022 40W, 3D 3.81% 61.79% 7.6% 23.6% 10% 28.2% 44.5% 58.5%
Tuesday May 31st, 2022 40W, 4D 3.68% 65.54% 7.4% 31.1% 10.7% 29.8% 46.6% 60.6%
Wednesday June 1st, 2022 40W, 5D 3.52% 69.15% 7% 38.3% 11.4% 31.3% 48.6% 62.7%
Thursday June 2nd, 2022 40W, 6D 3.33% 72.57% 6.7% 45.1% 12.1% 32.9% 50.5% 64.7%
Friday June 3rd, 2022 41W, 0D 3.12% 75.8% 6.2% 51.6% 12.9% 34.4% 52.4% 66.6%
Saturday June 4th, 2022 41W, 1D 2.9% 78.81% 5.8% 57.6% 13.7% 36% 54.3% 68.5%
Sunday June 5th, 2022 41W, 2D 2.66% 81.59% 5.3% 63.2% 14.4% 37.5% 56.1% 70.2%
Monday June 6th, 2022 41W, 3D 2.42% 84.13% 4.8% 68.3% 15.2% 39% 57.9% 71.9%
Tuesday June 7th, 2022 41W, 4D 2.18% 86.43% 4.4% 72.9% 16.1% 40.5% 59.6% 73.5%
Wednesday June 8th, 2022 41W, 5D 1.94% 88.49% 3.9% 77% 16.9% 42% 61.3% 75.1%
Thursday June 9th, 2022 41W, 6D 1.71% 90.32% 3.4% 80.6% 17.7% 43.4% 62.9% 76.4%
Friday June 10th, 2022 42W, 0D 1.5% 91.92% 3% 83.8% 18.6% 44.8% 64.5% 77.8%
Saturday June 11th, 2022 42W, 1D 1.3% 93.32% 2.6% 86.6% 19.5% 46.3% 65.9% 79.2%
Sunday June 12th, 2022 42W, 2D 1.11% 94.52% 2.2% 89% 20.3% 47.6% 67.3% 80.5%
Monday June 13th, 2022 42W, 3D 0.94% 95.54% 1.9% 91.1% 21.1% 48.9% 68.8% 81.6%
Tuesday June 14th, 2022 42W, 4D 0.79% 96.41% 1.6% 92.8% 22% 50.1% 70.2% 82.7%
Wednesday June 15th, 2022 42W, 5D 0.66% 97.13% 1.3% 94.3% 23% 51.6% 71.4% 83.6%
Thursday June 16th, 2022 42W, 6D 0.54% 97.72% 1.1% 95.4% 23.7% 53.1% 72.8% 84.6%
Friday June 17th, 2022 43W, 0D 0.44% 98.21% 0.9% 96.4% 24.6% 54.2% 73.7% 85.5%
Saturday June 18th, 2022 43W, 1D 0.35% 98.61% 0.7% 97.2% 25.2% 55.4% 74.8% 86.3%
Sunday June 19th, 2022 43W, 2D 0.28% 98.93% 0.6% 97.9% 26.2% 56.1% 75.7% 87.9%
Monday June 20th, 2022 43W, 3D 0.22% 99.18% 0.4% 98.4% 26.8% 57.3% 76.8% -%
Tuesday June 21st, 2022 43W, 4D 0.18% 99.38% 0.4% 98.8% 29% 58.1% 79% -%
Wednesday June 22nd, 2022 43W, 5D 0.14% 99.53% 0.3% 99.1% 29.8% 59.6% -% -%
Thursday June 23rd, 2022 43W, 6D 0.1% 99.65% 0.2% 99.3% 28.6% 62.9% -% -%
Friday June 24th, 2022 44W, 0D 0.08% 99.74% 0.2% 99.5% 30.8% -% -% -%
Saturday June 25th, 2022 44W, 1D 0.06% 99.81% 0.1% 99.6% 31.6% -% -% -%
Sunday June 26th, 2022 44W, 2D 0.04% 99.87% 0.1% 99.7% 30.8% -% -% -%

Probability of labor on a given day

Probability of labor by a given day

Notes and disclaimers

All percentages are estimates based on mathematical averages and should not be taken terribly seriously... just because you only have 5% chance of going into labor two weeks early, that doesn't mean you should schedule a trip to the bahamas that weekend (see xkcd to get what I mean here).

You should (obviously) listen to your doctor or midwife on all matters related to pregnancy and childbirth. Just because this chart tells you that a 42W pregnant woman has a high chance of delivering in the next seven days, it doesn't mean it's healthy for her to be pregnant for seven more days. If your doctor wants to increase probability of delivery by inducing labor, there's probably a good reason.

Finding good distribution statistics on spontaneous labor is interesting. I have not found a study with an exact daily breakdown of when babies are born. However I have read way too much on this topic, so I can tell you that my favorite published research is The length of human pregnancy as calculated by ultrasonographic measurement of the fetal biparietal diameter (H. Kieler, O. Axelsson, S. Nilsson, U. Waldenströ) which a very nice table of 10 published studies, which found various means between 272-283 days. The study contributes their own results as well, analyzing nearly 2000 mothers who went into labor spontaneously, and there's graphs of what they found. They found a mean around 280 days, and standard deviations between 8-11 days. There's a big list of other studies and answers in the Introduction to my due date survey results.

Which leads to this topic... I am also in the process of collecting my own statistics. If you have had a baby, please take my due date survey. Oddly enough, the numbers I've collected so far support my messy hunch that pregnancy length has a 40-week mean and 9-10 day standard deviation. So go me.

Anyway if you have better research, drop me an e-mail (spacefem@spacefem.com).

Charts are generated by flot.

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