This table attempts to estimate your probability of going into labor on different individual days based on your estimated due date. If you don't know your due date, or just want a handy daily page to tell you where you're at, use the pregnancy calendar.
It's based on the idea that the average pregnancy lasts 40 weeks with a standard deviation of about 10 days. This means you're more likely to go into labor on one of the days close to your due date. For instance, about half of all babies are born within a week of their date. Scroll to the bottom of this page if you want to know more about where I got these numbers.
The following dates are based on an estimated due date of April 23rd, 2019.
| Date | Progress | Overall probability of spontaneous labor |
Current probability of spontaneous labor |
probability of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On this date | By this date | On this date | By this date | On this date | Within 3 days | Within 5 days | Within 7 days | ||
| Tuesday March 19th, 2019 | 35W, 0D | 0.01% | 0.02% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Wednesday March 20th, 2019 | 35W, 1D | 0.01% | 0.03% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Thursday March 21st, 2019 | 35W, 2D | 0.02% | 0.05% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Friday March 22nd, 2019 | 35W, 3D | 0.02% | 0.07% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Saturday March 23rd, 2019 | 35W, 4D | 0.03% | 0.1% | -% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Sunday March 24th, 2019 | 35W, 5D | 0.04% | 0.13% | -% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Monday March 25th, 2019 | 35W, 6D | 0.06% | 0.19% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Tuesday March 26th, 2019 | 36W, 0D | 0.08% | 0.26% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Wednesday March 27th, 2019 | 36W, 1D | 0.1% | 0.35% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1% | 1.9% |
| Thursday March 28th, 2019 | 36W, 2D | 0.14% | 0.47% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| Friday March 29th, 2019 | 36W, 3D | 0.18% | 0.62% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3% |
| Saturday March 30th, 2019 | 36W, 4D | 0.22% | 0.82% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 1% | 2.1% | 3.7% |
| Sunday March 31st, 2019 | 36W, 5D | 0.28% | 1.07% | -% | -% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% |
| Monday April 1st, 2019 | 36W, 6D | 0.35% | 1.39% | -% | -% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% |
| Tuesday April 2nd, 2019 | 37W, 0D | 0.44% | 1.79% | -% | -% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% |
| Wednesday April 3rd, 2019 | 37W, 1D | 0.54% | 2.28% | -% | -% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% |
| Thursday April 4th, 2019 | 37W, 2D | 0.66% | 2.87% | -% | -% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% |
| Friday April 5th, 2019 | 37W, 3D | 0.79% | 3.59% | -% | -% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% |
| Saturday April 6th, 2019 | 37W, 4D | 0.94% | 4.46% | -% | -% | 1% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.9% |
| Sunday April 7th, 2019 | 37W, 5D | 1.11% | 5.48% | -% | -% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% |
| Monday April 8th, 2019 | 37W, 6D | 1.3% | 6.68% | -% | -% | 1.4% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 15.5% |
| Tuesday April 9th, 2019 | 38W, 0D | 1.5% | 8.08% | -% | -% | 1.6% | 6% | 11.2% | 17.5% |
| Wednesday April 10th, 2019 | 38W, 1D | 1.71% | 9.68% | -% | -% | 1.9% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 19.7% |
| Thursday April 11th, 2019 | 38W, 2D | 1.94% | 11.51% | -% | -% | 2.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 21.9% |
| Friday April 12th, 2019 | 38W, 3D | 2.18% | 13.57% | -% | -% | 2.5% | 8.8% | 16% | 24.2% |
| Saturday April 13th, 2019 | 38W, 4D | 2.42% | 15.87% | -% | -% | 2.9% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 26.6% |
| Sunday April 14th, 2019 | 38W, 5D | 2.66% | 18.41% | -% | -% | 3.3% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 29% |
| Monday April 15th, 2019 | 38W, 6D | 2.9% | 21.19% | -% | -% | 3.7% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 31.5% |
| Tuesday April 16th, 2019 | 39W, 0D | 3.12% | 24.2% | -% | -% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 23.6% | 34% |
| Wednesday April 17th, 2019 | 39W, 1D | 3.33% | 27.43% | -% | -% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 25.6% | 36.6% |
| Thursday April 18th, 2019 | 39W, 2D | 3.52% | 30.85% | -% | -% | 5.1% | 16.2% | 27.7% | 39.2% |
| Friday April 19th, 2019 | 39W, 3D | 3.68% | 34.46% | -% | -% | 5.6% | 17.6% | 29.8% | 41.7% |
| Saturday April 20th, 2019 | 39W, 4D | 3.81% | 38.21% | -% | -% | 6.2% | 19.1% | 31.9% | 44.2% |
| Sunday April 21st, 2019 | 39W, 5D | 3.91% | 42.07% | -% | -% | 6.7% | 20.6% | 34% | 46.7% |
| Monday April 22nd, 2019 | 39W, 6D | 3.97% | 46.02% | -% | -% | 7.4% | 22.1% | 36.2% | 49.2% |
| Tuesday April 23rd, 2019 | 40W, 0D | 3.99% | 50% | -% | -% | 8% | 23.6% | 38.3% | 51.6% |
| Wednesday April 24th, 2019 | 40W, 1D | 3.97% | 53.98% | 7.9% | 8% | 8.6% | 25.1% | 40.4% | 54% |
| Thursday April 25th, 2019 | 40W, 2D | 3.91% | 57.93% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 26.7% | 42.5% | 56.2% |
| Friday April 26th, 2019 | 40W, 3D | 3.81% | 61.79% | 7.6% | 23.6% | 10% | 28.2% | 44.5% | 58.5% |
| Saturday April 27th, 2019 | 40W, 4D | 3.68% | 65.54% | 7.4% | 31.1% | 10.7% | 29.8% | 46.6% | 60.6% |
| Sunday April 28th, 2019 | 40W, 5D | 3.52% | 69.15% | 7% | 38.3% | 11.4% | 31.3% | 48.6% | 62.7% |
| Monday April 29th, 2019 | 40W, 6D | 3.33% | 72.57% | 6.7% | 45.1% | 12.1% | 32.9% | 50.5% | 64.7% |
| Tuesday April 30th, 2019 | 41W, 0D | 3.12% | 75.8% | 6.2% | 51.6% | 12.9% | 34.4% | 52.4% | 66.6% |
| Wednesday May 1st, 2019 | 41W, 1D | 2.9% | 78.81% | 5.8% | 57.6% | 13.7% | 36% | 54.3% | 68.5% |
| Thursday May 2nd, 2019 | 41W, 2D | 2.66% | 81.59% | 5.3% | 63.2% | 14.4% | 37.5% | 56.1% | 70.2% |
| Friday May 3rd, 2019 | 41W, 3D | 2.42% | 84.13% | 4.8% | 68.3% | 15.2% | 39% | 57.9% | 71.9% |
| Saturday May 4th, 2019 | 41W, 4D | 2.18% | 86.43% | 4.4% | 72.9% | 16.1% | 40.5% | 59.6% | 73.5% |
| Sunday May 5th, 2019 | 41W, 5D | 1.94% | 88.49% | 3.9% | 77% | 16.9% | 42% | 61.3% | 75.1% |
| Monday May 6th, 2019 | 41W, 6D | 1.71% | 90.32% | 3.4% | 80.6% | 17.7% | 43.4% | 62.9% | 76.4% |
| Tuesday May 7th, 2019 | 42W, 0D | 1.5% | 91.92% | 3% | 83.8% | 18.6% | 44.8% | 64.5% | 77.8% |
| Wednesday May 8th, 2019 | 42W, 1D | 1.3% | 93.32% | 2.6% | 86.6% | 19.5% | 46.3% | 65.9% | 79.2% |
| Thursday May 9th, 2019 | 42W, 2D | 1.11% | 94.52% | 2.2% | 89% | 20.3% | 47.6% | 67.3% | 80.5% |
| Friday May 10th, 2019 | 42W, 3D | 0.94% | 95.54% | 1.9% | 91.1% | 21.1% | 48.9% | 68.8% | 81.6% |
| Saturday May 11th, 2019 | 42W, 4D | 0.79% | 96.41% | 1.6% | 92.8% | 22% | 50.1% | 70.2% | 82.7% |
| Sunday May 12th, 2019 | 42W, 5D | 0.66% | 97.13% | 1.3% | 94.3% | 23% | 51.6% | 71.4% | 83.6% |
| Monday May 13th, 2019 | 42W, 6D | 0.54% | 97.72% | 1.1% | 95.4% | 23.7% | 53.1% | 72.8% | 84.6% |
| Tuesday May 14th, 2019 | 43W, 0D | 0.44% | 98.21% | 0.9% | 96.4% | 24.6% | 54.2% | 73.7% | 85.5% |
| Wednesday May 15th, 2019 | 43W, 1D | 0.35% | 98.61% | 0.7% | 97.2% | 25.2% | 55.4% | 74.8% | 86.3% |
| Thursday May 16th, 2019 | 43W, 2D | 0.28% | 98.93% | 0.6% | 97.9% | 26.2% | 56.1% | 75.7% | 87.9% |
| Friday May 17th, 2019 | 43W, 3D | 0.22% | 99.18% | 0.4% | 98.4% | 26.8% | 57.3% | 76.8% | -% |
| Saturday May 18th, 2019 | 43W, 4D | 0.18% | 99.38% | 0.4% | 98.8% | 29% | 58.1% | 79% | -% |
| Sunday May 19th, 2019 | 43W, 5D | 0.14% | 99.53% | 0.3% | 99.1% | 29.8% | 59.6% | -% | -% |
| Monday May 20th, 2019 | 43W, 6D | 0.1% | 99.65% | 0.2% | 99.3% | 28.6% | 62.9% | -% | -% |
| Tuesday May 21st, 2019 | 44W, 0D | 0.08% | 99.74% | 0.2% | 99.5% | 30.8% | -% | -% | -% |
| Wednesday May 22nd, 2019 | 44W, 1D | 0.06% | 99.81% | 0.1% | 99.6% | 31.6% | -% | -% | -% |
| Thursday May 23rd, 2019 | 44W, 2D | 0.04% | 99.87% | 0.1% | 99.7% | 30.8% | -% | -% | -% |
All percentages are estimates based on mathematical averages and should not be taken terribly seriously... just because you only have 5% chance of going into labor two weeks early, that doesn't mean you should schedule a trip to the bahamas that weekend (see xkcd to get what I mean here).
You should (obviously) listen to your doctor or midwife on all matters related to pregnancy and childbirth. Just because this chart tells you that a 42W pregnant woman has a high chance of delivering in the next seven days, it doesn't mean it's healthy for her to be pregnant for seven more days. If your doctor wants to increase probability of delivery by inducing labor, there's probably a good reason.
Finding good distribution statistics on spontaneous labor is interesting. I have not found a study with an exact daily breakdown of when babies are born. However I have read way too much on this topic, so I can tell you that my favorite published research is The length of human pregnancy as calculated by ultrasonographic measurement of the fetal biparietal diameter (H. Kieler, O. Axelsson, S. Nilsson, U. Waldenströ) which a very nice table of 10 published studies, which found various means between 272-283 days. The study contributes their own results as well, analyzing nearly 2000 mothers who went into labor spontaneously, and there's graphs of what they found. They found a mean around 280 days, and standard deviations between 8-11 days. There's a big list of other studies and answers in the Introduction to my due date survey results.
Which leads to this topic... I am also in the process of collecting my own statistics. If you have had a baby, please take my due date survey. Oddly enough, the numbers I've collected so far support my messy hunch that pregnancy length has a 40-week mean and 9-10 day standard deviation. So go me.
Anyway if you have better research, drop me an e-mail (spacefem@spacefem.com).
Charts are generated by flot.
Sonic, I like the way you described the sound a letter makes.
I asked a few early elementary school teachers I know this same question and wanted to share a bit of what they had to say.
They recommended starting with consonant-vowel-consonant words (CVC) with short vowel sounds, and focus on rhyming families (i.e. bat, cat, fat) and even including first consonant changes that don't make real words, like 'gat'. Then later introduce CVC with last letter changes (i.e. bad, bar, bat). They said we could try sight words at the same time and told me to do a search for the Fry sight word list.
After those CVC words aren't a problem, it was suggested to start adding an 'e' at the end of CVC words to change the vowel sound, an the meaning of the words, so introducing long vowels (i.e. cap->cape). Then after all that, we can start adding two consonants together and two vowels together. From there maybe come up with homonyms together, which can be a great way to introduce silent letters (i.e. new, knew).
I would say its very important, because what you learn shapes and molds yours views that make you who you are.
Aum, my partner and I were just discussing this. He was surprised by my taking the hard line that stopping BC or poking holes in condoms or something like that is rape, making the woman a rapist. Which should result in jail time, so she should lose custody, which should go to the father and now he has the choice of keeping the baby or putting them up for adoption.
It's unfortunate that you can't prove such a thing, but hopefully if it was actually taken seriously women would be less likely to do it because it would at least be explicitly called rape.
I understand how the justice system and the family courts would look at it. They see it as the man's sperm made it to the egg so somehow he wasn't protecting himself, he made the choice, yada yada. There's no way to prove that the woman was manipulative, withdrew BC, or "poked holes in the condom" (I think that's unheard of, but anyway).
no
I topped baby off tonight. He straight up drank 7 ounces of formula after his prunes. If he's an infiltrator, he's eating well for it.
I am still dealing with the fact that your 11 year old is an actual 11 year old.
My father-in-law spends a lot of time with the kid, mostly by choice. I sometimes wish we had more of a schedule, because at the moment, naps and bedtime are the only semi-guaranteed breaks for anyone. My spouse and father-in-law both work from home free-lance, so they don't actually have a schedule for when they need to be left alone, but at least my father-in-law has more warning with jobs scheduled out in advance.
I'm sorry for your loss. Ectopic pregnancies are scary, and I would like to go punch that first doctor in the face for you.
PPD is awful too.
You can continue discussing with him the difference of a boy and a girl. Have him socialize too with the same gender. There's nothing wrong if you have go with opposite sex as long as he understands what/who he is.
So do you feel hanging out with the opposite gender at a young age can confuse a person's gender identity?
If a boy who has a penis asks if he's a boy and you don't just say yes, then that's straight up lunacy.
What he decides to do with that boyhood or how he dresses is up to him. But if you're born with a penis you're a boy.
Making it airy fairy when, statistically, scientifically, less than 1% of 1% of children born have true gender dysphoria, is immoral and wrong. It's also a sign of our troubled times.
This is just my anecdotal experience but...
I have experienced bullying based on simply engaging in normal children's play with girls. Insults were attacks on both me and the girls. But I NEVER questioned my gender as a male. So if a child asks me if he's a boy and was identified biologically as one, I am going to question what influences are on the child before I answer.