This table attempts to estimate your probability of going into labor on different individual days based on your estimated due date. If you don't know your due date, or just want a handy daily page to tell you where you're at, use the pregnancy calendar.
It's based on the idea that the average pregnancy lasts 40 weeks with a standard deviation of about 10 days. This means you're more likely to go into labor on one of the days close to your due date. For instance, about half of all babies are born within a week of their date. Scroll to the bottom of this page if you want to know more about where I got these numbers.
The following dates are based on an estimated due date of October 27th, 2017.
| Date | Progress | Overall probability of spontaneous labor |
Current probability of spontaneous labor |
probability of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On this date | By this date | On this date | By this date | On this date | Within 3 days | Within 5 days | Within 7 days | ||
| Friday September 22nd, 2017 | 35W, 0D | 0.01% | 0.02% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Saturday September 23rd, 2017 | 35W, 1D | 0.01% | 0.03% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Sunday September 24th, 2017 | 35W, 2D | 0.02% | 0.05% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Monday September 25th, 2017 | 35W, 3D | 0.02% | 0.07% | -% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Tuesday September 26th, 2017 | 35W, 4D | 0.03% | 0.1% | -% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Wednesday September 27th, 2017 | 35W, 5D | 0.04% | 0.13% | -% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Thursday September 28th, 2017 | 35W, 6D | 0.06% | 0.19% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Friday September 29th, 2017 | 36W, 0D | 0.08% | 0.26% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Saturday September 30th, 2017 | 36W, 1D | 0.1% | 0.35% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1% | 1.9% |
| Sunday October 1st, 2017 | 36W, 2D | 0.14% | 0.47% | -% | -% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| Monday October 2nd, 2017 | 36W, 3D | 0.18% | 0.62% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3% |
| Tuesday October 3rd, 2017 | 36W, 4D | 0.22% | 0.82% | -% | -% | 0.2% | 1% | 2.1% | 3.7% |
| Wednesday October 4th, 2017 | 36W, 5D | 0.28% | 1.07% | -% | -% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% |
| Thursday October 5th, 2017 | 36W, 6D | 0.35% | 1.39% | -% | -% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% |
| Friday October 6th, 2017 | 37W, 0D | 0.44% | 1.79% | -% | -% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% |
| Saturday October 7th, 2017 | 37W, 1D | 0.54% | 2.28% | -% | -% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% |
| Sunday October 8th, 2017 | 37W, 2D | 0.66% | 2.87% | -% | -% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% |
| Monday October 9th, 2017 | 37W, 3D | 0.79% | 3.59% | -% | -% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% |
| Tuesday October 10th, 2017 | 37W, 4D | 0.94% | 4.46% | -% | -% | 1% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.9% |
| Wednesday October 11th, 2017 | 37W, 5D | 1.11% | 5.48% | -% | -% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% |
| Thursday October 12th, 2017 | 37W, 6D | 1.3% | 6.68% | -% | -% | 1.4% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 15.5% |
| Friday October 13th, 2017 | 38W, 0D | 1.5% | 8.08% | -% | -% | 1.6% | 6% | 11.2% | 17.5% |
| Saturday October 14th, 2017 | 38W, 1D | 1.71% | 9.68% | -% | -% | 1.9% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 19.7% |
| Sunday October 15th, 2017 | 38W, 2D | 1.94% | 11.51% | -% | -% | 2.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 21.9% |
| Monday October 16th, 2017 | 38W, 3D | 2.18% | 13.57% | -% | -% | 2.5% | 8.8% | 16% | 24.2% |
| Tuesday October 17th, 2017 | 38W, 4D | 2.42% | 15.87% | -% | -% | 2.9% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 26.6% |
| Wednesday October 18th, 2017 | 38W, 5D | 2.66% | 18.41% | -% | -% | 3.3% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 29% |
| Thursday October 19th, 2017 | 38W, 6D | 2.9% | 21.19% | -% | -% | 3.7% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 31.5% |
| Friday October 20th, 2017 | 39W, 0D | 3.12% | 24.2% | -% | -% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 23.6% | 34% |
| Saturday October 21st, 2017 | 39W, 1D | 3.33% | 27.43% | -% | -% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 25.6% | 36.6% |
| Sunday October 22nd, 2017 | 39W, 2D | 3.52% | 30.85% | -% | -% | 5.1% | 16.2% | 27.7% | 39.2% |
| Monday October 23rd, 2017 | 39W, 3D | 3.68% | 34.46% | -% | -% | 5.6% | 17.6% | 29.8% | 41.7% |
| Tuesday October 24th, 2017 | 39W, 4D | 3.81% | 38.21% | -% | -% | 6.2% | 19.1% | 31.9% | 44.2% |
| Wednesday October 25th, 2017 | 39W, 5D | 3.91% | 42.07% | -% | -% | 6.7% | 20.6% | 34% | 46.7% |
| Thursday October 26th, 2017 | 39W, 6D | 3.97% | 46.02% | -% | -% | 7.4% | 22.1% | 36.2% | 49.2% |
| Friday October 27th, 2017 | 40W, 0D | 3.99% | 50% | -% | -% | 8% | 23.6% | 38.3% | 51.6% |
| Saturday October 28th, 2017 | 40W, 1D | 3.97% | 53.98% | -% | -% | 8.6% | 25.1% | 40.4% | 54% |
| Sunday October 29th, 2017 | 40W, 2D | 3.91% | 57.93% | -% | -% | 9.3% | 26.7% | 42.5% | 56.2% |
| Monday October 30th, 2017 | 40W, 3D | 3.81% | 61.79% | -% | -% | 10% | 28.2% | 44.5% | 58.5% |
| Tuesday October 31st, 2017 | 40W, 4D | 3.68% | 65.54% | -% | -% | 10.7% | 29.8% | 46.6% | 60.6% |
| Wednesday November 1st, 2017 | 40W, 5D | 3.52% | 69.15% | -% | -% | 11.4% | 31.3% | 48.6% | 62.7% |
| Thursday November 2nd, 2017 | 40W, 6D | 3.33% | 72.57% | -% | -% | 12.1% | 32.9% | 50.5% | 64.7% |
| Friday November 3rd, 2017 | 41W, 0D | 3.12% | 75.8% | -% | -% | 12.9% | 34.4% | 52.4% | 66.6% |
| Saturday November 4th, 2017 | 41W, 1D | 2.9% | 78.81% | -% | -% | 13.7% | 36% | 54.3% | 68.5% |
| Sunday November 5th, 2017 | 41W, 2D | 2.66% | 81.59% | -% | -% | 14.4% | 37.5% | 56.1% | 70.2% |
| Monday November 6th, 2017 | 41W, 3D | 2.42% | 84.13% | -% | -% | 15.2% | 39% | 57.9% | 71.9% |
| Tuesday November 7th, 2017 | 41W, 4D | 2.18% | 86.43% | -% | -% | 16.1% | 40.5% | 59.6% | 73.5% |
| Wednesday November 8th, 2017 | 41W, 5D | 1.94% | 88.49% | -% | -% | 16.9% | 42% | 61.3% | 75.1% |
| Thursday November 9th, 2017 | 41W, 6D | 1.71% | 90.32% | -% | -% | 17.7% | 43.4% | 62.9% | 76.4% |
| Friday November 10th, 2017 | 42W, 0D | 1.5% | 91.92% | -% | -% | 18.6% | 44.8% | 64.5% | 77.8% |
| Saturday November 11th, 2017 | 42W, 1D | 1.3% | 93.32% | -% | -% | 19.5% | 46.3% | 65.9% | 79.2% |
| Sunday November 12th, 2017 | 42W, 2D | 1.11% | 94.52% | -% | -% | 20.3% | 47.6% | 67.3% | 80.5% |
| Monday November 13th, 2017 | 42W, 3D | 0.94% | 95.54% | -% | -% | 21.1% | 48.9% | 68.8% | 81.6% |
| Tuesday November 14th, 2017 | 42W, 4D | 0.79% | 96.41% | -% | -% | 22% | 50.1% | 70.2% | 82.7% |
| Wednesday November 15th, 2017 | 42W, 5D | 0.66% | 97.13% | -% | -% | 23% | 51.6% | 71.4% | 83.6% |
| Thursday November 16th, 2017 | 42W, 6D | 0.54% | 97.72% | -% | -% | 23.7% | 53.1% | 72.8% | 84.6% |
| Friday November 17th, 2017 | 43W, 0D | 0.44% | 98.21% | -% | -% | 24.6% | 54.2% | 73.7% | 85.5% |
| Saturday November 18th, 2017 | 43W, 1D | 0.35% | 98.61% | -% | -% | 25.2% | 55.4% | 74.8% | 86.3% |
| Sunday November 19th, 2017 | 43W, 2D | 0.28% | 98.93% | -% | -% | 26.2% | 56.1% | 75.7% | 87.9% |
| Monday November 20th, 2017 | 43W, 3D | 0.22% | 99.18% | -% | -% | 26.8% | 57.3% | 76.8% | -% |
| Tuesday November 21st, 2017 | 43W, 4D | 0.18% | 99.38% | -% | -% | 29% | 58.1% | 79% | -% |
| Wednesday November 22nd, 2017 | 43W, 5D | 0.14% | 99.53% | -% | -% | 29.8% | 59.6% | -% | -% |
| Thursday November 23rd, 2017 | 43W, 6D | 0.1% | 99.65% | -% | -% | 28.6% | 62.9% | -% | -% |
| Friday November 24th, 2017 | 44W, 0D | 0.08% | 99.74% | -% | -% | 30.8% | -% | -% | -% |
| Saturday November 25th, 2017 | 44W, 1D | 0.06% | 99.81% | -% | -% | 31.6% | -% | -% | -% |
| Sunday November 26th, 2017 | 44W, 2D | 0.04% | 99.87% | -% | -% | 30.8% | -% | -% | -% |
All percentages are estimates based on mathematical averages and should not be taken terribly seriously... just because you only have 5% chance of going into labor two weeks early, that doesn't mean you should schedule a trip to the bahamas that weekend (see xkcd to get what I mean here).
You should (obviously) listen to your doctor or midwife on all matters related to pregnancy and childbirth. Just because this chart tells you that a 42W pregnant woman has a high chance of delivering in the next seven days, it doesn't mean it's healthy for her to be pregnant for seven more days. If your doctor wants to increase probability of delivery by inducing labor, there's probably a good reason.
Finding good distribution statistics on spontaneous labor is interesting. I have not found a study with an exact daily breakdown of when babies are born. However I have read way too much on this topic, so I can tell you that my favorite published research is The length of human pregnancy as calculated by ultrasonographic measurement of the fetal biparietal diameter (H. Kieler, O. Axelsson, S. Nilsson, U. Waldenströ) which a very nice table of 10 published studies, which found various means between 272-283 days. The study contributes their own results as well, analyzing nearly 2000 mothers who went into labor spontaneously, and there's graphs of what they found. They found a mean around 280 days, and standard deviations between 8-11 days. There's a big list of other studies and answers in the Introduction to my due date survey results.
Which leads to this topic... I am also in the process of collecting my own statistics. If you have had a baby, please take my due date survey. Oddly enough, the numbers I've collected so far support my messy hunch that pregnancy length has a 40-week mean and 9-10 day standard deviation. So go me.
Anyway if you have better research, drop me an e-mail (spacefem@spacefem.com).
Charts are generated by flot.
I admit I haven’t been around here a ton lately but I didn’t know babySonic had arrived! Congrats!!!!
Alas I don’t have any actual advice. My college besties (a married couple) and I fantasize about sharing a house, and they are actively trying to have kids, so we talked about that possibility a little bit, but right now we live in different cities and they don’t have a kid yet so it’s all speculation. But I think it could probably work - as the prospective non-parent I would want to make sure I had my own kid-free space in the house and we were really clear about responsibilities ahead of time, eg, I’m a roommate not an all-purpose babysitter, how will this affect the split of other housework, etc.
I'm sorry for your loss. Ectopic pregnancies are scary, and I would like to go punch that first doctor in the face for you.
PPD is awful too.
You can continue discussing with him the difference of a boy and a girl. Have him socialize too with the same gender. There's nothing wrong if you have go with opposite sex as long as he understands what/who he is.
So do you feel hanging out with the opposite gender at a young age can confuse a person's gender identity?
If a boy who has a penis asks if he's a boy and you don't just say yes, then that's straight up lunacy.
What he decides to do with that boyhood or how he dresses is up to him. But if you're born with a penis you're a boy.
Making it airy fairy when, statistically, scientifically, less than 1% of 1% of children born have true gender dysphoria, is immoral and wrong. It's also a sign of our troubled times.
This is just my anecdotal experience but...
I have experienced bullying based on simply engaging in normal children's play with girls. Insults were attacks on both me and the girls. But I NEVER questioned my gender as a male. So if a child asks me if he's a boy and was identified biologically as one, I am going to question what influences are on the child before I answer.
Aum, my partner and I were just discussing this. He was surprised by my taking the hard line that stopping BC or poking holes in condoms or something like that is rape, making the woman a rapist. Which should result in jail time, so she should lose custody, which should go to the father and now he has the choice of keeping the baby or putting them up for adoption.
It's unfortunate that you can't prove such a thing, but hopefully if it was actually taken seriously women would be less likely to do it because it would at least be explicitly called rape.
I understand how the justice system and the family courts would look at it. They see it as the man's sperm made it to the egg so somehow he wasn't protecting himself, he made the choice, yada yada. There's no way to prove that the woman was manipulative, withdrew BC, or "poked holes in the condom" (I think that's unheard of, but anyway).
I found this article (
The lit review at the beginning of the article adds some specificity here. What seems hard on kids is not single parenthood itself; it's often the divorce that results in a single parent being involved.
Then there are people who become single parents, but not by choice. That's also rough, often because these parents lack the financial stability and stability to do well. So the article is really looking at single parents by choice
Not having read your post, but just the heading, my response was "wine." But after reading your post, I thought "wine."
Yes. After bedtime.
Also, honestly the only way we made it through was we would take turns being the center of focus. We still do this, divide and conquer (and she's only one kid, hell). Also, I know people are like really limit screen time BUT if you really need to get something done one episode of e.g. Daniel Tiger or Paw Patrol or whatever isn't gonna be too bad. I think DarkOne has some good ideas too.
Good luck.
I am still dealing with the fact that your 11 year old is an actual 11 year old.
egg freezing seems like a good option esp if you have extra time and money.
- kid would like a sibling
- maybe people are right about end of life stuff
That's about it. I hated being pregnant, the last time I was pregnant the hormones were... really awful. Plus kid is now pretty big so another one would be weird and we gave away all our stuff.