This can be an upsetting topic, but after passing a pregnancy test and facing so much uncertainty about my future I just wanted something to make me feel a little more... in control. For me, that's statistics. So based on some human embryo survival rates - overall and at 6, 8, and 10 weeks, I did some curve matching to calculate the risk of miscarriage at each day of an early pregnancy. The data here is based on a study of 600 women who were tested daily for pregnancy while trying to conceive, so early pregnancies were all evaluated for survival rate. The numbers are an estimate, but they're something.
The following dates are based on an estimated LMP of April 24th, 2019.
|Date||Progress||Overall probability of miscarriage|
|Wednesday May 15th, 2019||3W, 0D||33%|
|Thursday May 16th, 2019||3W, 1D||32.9%|
|Friday May 17th, 2019||3W, 2D||32.6%|
|Saturday May 18th, 2019||3W, 3D||32%|
|Sunday May 19th, 2019||3W, 4D||31.3%|
|Monday May 20th, 2019||3W, 5D||30.3%|
|Tuesday May 21st, 2019||3W, 6D||29.2%|
|Wednesday May 22nd, 2019||4W, 0D||28%|
|Thursday May 23rd, 2019||4W, 1D||26.6%|
|Friday May 24th, 2019||4W, 2D||25.2%|
|Saturday May 25th, 2019||4W, 3D||23.6%|
|Sunday May 26th, 2019||4W, 4D||22.1%|
|Monday May 27th, 2019||4W, 5D||20.5%|
|Tuesday May 28th, 2019||4W, 6D||18.9%|
|Wednesday May 29th, 2019||5W, 0D||17.3%|
|Thursday May 30th, 2019||5W, 1D||15.8%|
|Friday May 31st, 2019||5W, 2D||14.4%|
|Saturday June 1st, 2019||5W, 3D||13%|
|Sunday June 2nd, 2019||5W, 4D||11.7%|
|Monday June 3rd, 2019||5W, 5D||10.5%|
|Tuesday June 4th, 2019||5W, 6D||9.4%|
|Wednesday June 5th, 2019||6W, 0D||8.4%|
|Thursday June 6th, 2019||6W, 1D||7.5%|
|Friday June 7th, 2019||6W, 2D||6.6%|
|Saturday June 8th, 2019||6W, 3D||5.9%|
|Sunday June 9th, 2019||6W, 4D||5.3%|
|Monday June 10th, 2019||6W, 5D||4.7%|
|Tuesday June 11th, 2019||6W, 6D||4.3%|
|Wednesday June 12th, 2019||7W, 0D||3.9%|
|Thursday June 13th, 2019||7W, 1D||3.5%|
|Friday June 14th, 2019||7W, 2D||3.2%|
|Saturday June 15th, 2019||7W, 3D||3%|
|Sunday June 16th, 2019||7W, 4D||2.8%|
|Monday June 17th, 2019||7W, 5D||2.6%|
|Tuesday June 18th, 2019||7W, 6D||2.5%|
|Wednesday June 19th, 2019||8W, 0D||2.4%|
|Thursday June 20th, 2019||8W, 1D||2.3%|
|Friday June 21st, 2019||8W, 2D||2.2%|
|Saturday June 22nd, 2019||8W, 3D||2.2%|
|Sunday June 23rd, 2019||8W, 4D||2.1%|
|Monday June 24th, 2019||8W, 5D||2.1%|
|Tuesday June 25th, 2019||8W, 6D||2.1%|
|Wednesday June 26th, 2019||9W, 0D||2.1%|
|Thursday June 27th, 2019||9W, 1D||2%|
|Friday June 28th, 2019||9W, 2D||2%|
|Saturday June 29th, 2019||9W, 3D||2%|
|Sunday June 30th, 2019||9W, 4D||2%|
|Monday July 1st, 2019||9W, 5D||2%|
|Tuesday July 2nd, 2019||9W, 6D||2%|
|Wednesday July 3rd, 2019||10W, 0D||2%|
|Thursday July 4th, 2019||10W, 1D||2%|
|Friday July 5th, 2019||10W, 2D||2%|
|Saturday July 6th, 2019||10W, 3D||2%|
|Sunday July 7th, 2019||10W, 4D||2%|
|Monday July 8th, 2019||10W, 5D||2%|
|Tuesday July 9th, 2019||10W, 6D||2%|
|Wednesday July 10th, 2019||11W, 0D||2%|
|Thursday July 11th, 2019||11W, 1D||2%|
|Friday July 12th, 2019||11W, 2D||2%|
|Saturday July 13th, 2019||11W, 3D||2%|
|Sunday July 14th, 2019||11W, 4D||2%|
|Monday July 15th, 2019||11W, 5D||2%|
|Tuesday July 16th, 2019||11W, 6D||2%|
|Wednesday July 17th, 2019||12W, 0D||2%|
|Thursday July 18th, 2019||12W, 1D||2%|
|Friday July 19th, 2019||12W, 2D||2%|
|Saturday July 20th, 2019||12W, 3D||2%|
|Sunday July 21st, 2019||12W, 4D||2%|
|Monday July 22nd, 2019||12W, 5D||2%|
|Tuesday July 23rd, 2019||12W, 6D||2%|
All numbers are estimates. If you have better research, drop me an e-mail (email@example.com).I used information from two studies to make my assumptions: Wilcox AJ, Baird DD, Weinberg CR (1999). "Time of implantation of the conceptus and loss of pregnancy." and Wang X, Chen C, Wang L, Chen D, Guang W, French J (2003). "Conception, early pregnancy loss, and time to clinical pregnancy: a population-based prospective study.". I was not able to obtain full access to the second one, but based on citations I believe I had the numbers I needed for this.
The studies analyzed women who were trying to conceive for the first time.
There is a page of good studies here: https://sites.google.com/site/miscarriageresearch/miscarriage-general that compares risks based on age, whether you've heard a heartbeat, previous miscarriage, and hosts of other factors.
Charts are generated by flot.
When I worked in a biligual Kita, the kids picked up loads from simply being read to and pointing out the different things. Sometimes a question came up ("that is a pferd", "it's called horse in English", "ok horse") and it's good to know both languages to understand what the kid is saying, but reading is a good together activity
I would say its very important, because what you learn shapes and molds yours views that make you who you are.
Aum, my partner and I were just discussing this. He was surprised by my taking the hard line that stopping BC or poking holes in condoms or something like that is rape, making the woman a rapist. Which should result in jail time, so she should lose custody, which should go to the father and now he has the choice of keeping the baby or putting them up for adoption.
It's unfortunate that you can't prove such a thing, but hopefully if it was actually taken seriously women would be less likely to do it because it would at least be explicitly called rape.
I understand how the justice system and the family courts would look at it. They see it as the man's sperm made it to the egg so somehow he wasn't protecting himself, he made the choice, yada yada. There's no way to prove that the woman was manipulative, withdrew BC, or "poked holes in the condom" (I think that's unheard of, but anyway).
I topped baby off tonight. He straight up drank 7 ounces of formula after his prunes. If he's an infiltrator, he's eating well for it.
I am still dealing with the fact that your 11 year old is an actual 11 year old.
My father-in-law spends a lot of time with the kid, mostly by choice. I sometimes wish we had more of a schedule, because at the moment, naps and bedtime are the only semi-guaranteed breaks for anyone. My spouse and father-in-law both work from home free-lance, so they don't actually have a schedule for when they need to be left alone, but at least my father-in-law has more warning with jobs scheduled out in advance.
I'm sorry for your loss. Ectopic pregnancies are scary, and I would like to go punch that first doctor in the face for you.
PPD is awful too.
You can continue discussing with him the difference of a boy and a girl. Have him socialize too with the same gender. There's nothing wrong if you have go with opposite sex as long as he understands what/who he is.
So do you feel hanging out with the opposite gender at a young age can confuse a person's gender identity?
If a boy who has a penis asks if he's a boy and you don't just say yes, then that's straight up lunacy.
What he decides to do with that boyhood or how he dresses is up to him. But if you're born with a penis you're a boy.
Making it airy fairy when, statistically, scientifically, less than 1% of 1% of children born have true gender dysphoria, is immoral and wrong. It's also a sign of our troubled times.
This is just my anecdotal experience but...
I have experienced bullying based on simply engaging in normal children's play with girls. Insults were attacks on both me and the girls. But I NEVER questioned my gender as a male. So if a child asks me if he's a boy and was identified biologically as one, I am going to question what influences are on the child before I answer.